October 2024 Economic Advisor

Posted By: Erin Russell Economics,

The October 2024 Economic Advisor is now available for NFFS members. Please note that you must log in to your NFFS account to see this members-only publication.

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FEATURED ARTICLE

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A Closer Look: The U.S. Economy: U.S. Trade
by Jenna Allen, ITR Economics
"Onshoring and nearshoring trends are increasingly moving supply chains closer to home. But exactly how much are these trends, and the rising interest in protectionism, impacting US trade dependence? What is happening to the U.S. trade deficit with China, and how might the U.S. presidential election impact it?"

ALSO IN THIS ISSUE
  • ITR's Macroeconomic Outlook
    "
    While leading indicators remain somewhat mixed, a plateau (for industrial activity) to mild growth (for most other core segments of the economy) is the expected prevailing trend for the coming quarters."
  • Make Your Move, a monthly tip for managers
    "On a quarterly basis, the S&P 500 is in an accelerating growth trend. Despite this strength, it is unlikely that the index will continue rising at its current clip into the longer term."
  • Investor Update
    "[...] The economy has mixed signals, suggesting that it may be overly optimistic to expect a double-digit rate of rise in 2025."
  • ITR Economics' Long Term View
    "2024 – Retail Growth; Industrial Flat, 2025 [...]"
  • Leading Indicator Snapshot 
    "Leading indicators continue to suggest rise for many sectors through the end of this year and in 2025, though still-high interest rates are dampening the steepness of that ascent."
  • Manufacturing Industry Analysis
    "Annual U.S. Total Manufacturing Production in September was 0.3% below the year-ago level and is in a recovery trend. Corporate profits within the manufacturing industry remain elevated [...]"
  • State-by-State Analysis: Housing Prices
    "Home Prices have risen at the fastest pace largely in the Northeast, i.e., where there is limited room to expand. [...] Conversely, the 10 states with the lowest growth rates were all west of the Mississippi River."
  • Reader's Forum
    "
    The yield curve recently un-inverted. What does this mean for the economy?"

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The NFFS Economic Advisor provides economic data that is sourced and compiled on a monthly basis by ITR Economics for members of NFFS. It provides leading indicator trend data and relevant economic news to assist foundries with their internal economic analyses and business planning.